GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 2/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Melbourne City II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne City II hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne City II

Probability

68.2%

Model confidence

68.2%

Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IIDWLWW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderMelbourne City II
33.3Attack56.5
26.1Defence56.5
21.7Form43.5
28.5Power50.9
0.89xG2.48
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