GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 2/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Dandenong Thunder are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heidelberg United hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Heidelberg United holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heidelberg United

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

10.7%

Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dandenong ThunderDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heidelberg UnitedWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong ThunderHeidelberg United
33.3Attack52.8
26.1Defence54.2
21.7Form47.2
28.5Power52.7
0.93xG2.33
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