Dandenong Thundervs
Green Gully
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 4/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dandenong Thunder · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dandenong Thunder are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Green Gully are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 28.5 against 29.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Dandenong Thunder holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dandenong Thunder
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
13.5%
Dandenong Thunder has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40