Dandenong Thundervs
Avondale
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 3/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avondale are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (28.5 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avondale
Probability
83.8%
Model confidence
9.8%
Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80