Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Damac · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Damac 4-1 Al Taee
Original prediction
Damac
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.5% | 47.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 25.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.1% | 27.2% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Damac
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Damac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DamacLWWLD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al TaeeLWDLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DamacAl Taee
33.3Attack47.6
57.1Defence28.6
42.9Form47.6
47.2Power43.6
1.54xG1.14