Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Damac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Damac 0-0 Al Orubah
Original prediction
Damac
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.0% | 41.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 28.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.3% | 30.3% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Damac
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Damac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DamacDLWLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al OrubahLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DamacAl Orubah
0.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.34xG0.98