Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Damac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Damac 0-0 Al-Adalah, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Damac 3-2 Al-Adalah
Original prediction
Damac
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.3% | 38.1% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.5% | 29.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.3% | 32.8% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Projected Score
Damac 0–0 Al-Adalah
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Damac
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Damac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DamacWLDDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-AdalahWDWLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
DamacAl-Adalah
26.7Attack46.7
73.3Defence66.7
40.0Form66.7
49.7Power63.4
0.89xG0.97