2. Deild2. Deild
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Dalvík / Reynir

Dalvík / Reynir

Home
L
01
Full time
Vikingur Olafsiik

Vikingur Olafsiik

Away
WDL
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Dalvík / Reynir(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Dalvík / Reynir
40%
Draw
28%
Vikingur Olafsiik
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dalvík / Reynir
34
Vikingur Olafsiik
23
Defence
Dalvík / Reynir
1
Vikingur Olafsiik
66
Momentum
Dalvík / Reynir
0
Vikingur Olafsiik
44
Danger (xG)
Dalvík / Reynir
0.90
Vikingur Olafsiik
0.60
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.36 xG for Dalvík / Reynir and 0.93 xG for Vikingur Olafsiik. Vikingur Olafsiik's projected xG of 0.93 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Dalvík / Reynir's defensive record — 5 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Vikingur Olafsiik's limited attacking output (4 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.29 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Dalvík / Reynir's Defensive Stability (1) and Vikingur Olafsiik's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Dalvík / Reynir)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Vikingur Olafsiik)
0.60
avg per match
xG against (Dalvík / Reynir)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Vikingur Olafsiik)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir
LWWL
Vikingur OlafsiikVikingur Olafsiik
WDLWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Dalvík / Reynir40%
Draw28%
Vikingur Olafsiik32%

Dalvík / Reynir leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Dalvík / Reynir Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Dalvík / Reynir host Vikingur Olafsiik in 2. Deild. Dalvík / Reynir have recorded WWDLLL in recent matches while Vikingur Olafsiik arrive with a run of LWLDWW. These sides have met 6 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.36 expected goals for Dalvík / Reynir against 0.93 for Vikingur Olafsiik — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Dalvík / Reynir's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 53% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Dalvík / Reynir have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Dalvík / Reynir are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.36 projected against 0.93 for Vikingur Olafsiik. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.43 is the clearest signal in the model that Dalvík / Reynir are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Vikingur Olafsiik carry a Defensive Stability Score of 66 — stronger than their overall Power Rating suggests. If Dalvík / Reynir fail to convert early chances and the game remains goalless at half-time, the momentum could shift. Tight games are always vulnerable to a single moment of quality from the underdog.

Risk factors

  • Vikingur Olafsiik are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • Dalvík / Reynir have been conceding 1.81 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Head to head

Dalvík / Reynir 0Draws 01 Vikingur Olafsiik
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
Dalvík / Reynir
L12
Vikingur Olafsiik

Recent form

Dalvík / Reynir

Dalvík / Reynir

L
vs Fjolnir
12 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
27 Jun 2026
10
W
@ Magni
10 Jun 2026
20
L
@ Vikingur Olafsiik
16 May 2026
12
Vikingur Olafsiik

Vikingur Olafsiik

W
@ Hvíti riddarinn
17 Jul 2026
20
D
@ Kormákur / Hvöt
12 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
4 Jul 2026
03
W
vs KFG
27 Jun 2026
10
W
@ Thróttur Vogar
10 Jun 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dalvík / Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsiik?

GoalVio's model predicts Dalvík / Reynir to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dalvík / Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsiik?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Dalvík / Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsiik?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dalvík / Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsiik?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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