Dalvík / Reynirvs
Hvíti riddarinn
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalvík / Reynir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalvík / Reynir 4-1 Hvíti riddarinn
Original prediction
Dalvík / Reynir
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.5% | 68.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.6% | 15.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.64 | 16.0% | 16.0% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Dalvík / Reynir
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Dalvík / Reynir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20