Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalstorps 0-2 Norrby IF
Original prediction
Norrby IF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.28 | 14.3% | 32.4% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.4% | 25.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.2% | 42.5% | -22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DalstorpsDWWLD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Norrby IFDLWDD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DalstorpsNorrby IF
66.7Attack50.0
16.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power50.0
1.97xG1.79