Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalstorps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalstorps 3-2 Jonsered
Original prediction
Dalstorps
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.1% | 60.6% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 19.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.5% | 19.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Dalstorps
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Dalstorps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DalstorpsWDWWL
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
JonseredWDLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DalstorpsJonsered
65.3Attack55.6
63.9Defence48.6
63.9Form58.3
64.9Power55.8
2.27xG1.10