GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/14/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dallas Trinity W are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lexington W are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington W hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the USL Super League, while Lexington W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington W

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dallas Trinity WDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Lexington WLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Dallas Trinity WLexington W
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power97.0
1.02xG1.28
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