GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carolina Ascent W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dallas Trinity W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Carolina Ascent W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and carolina Ascent W hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Super League, favouring Carolina Ascent W with 14.8% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carolina Ascent W

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

14.8%

Carolina Ascent W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dallas Trinity WLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Carolina Ascent WLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dallas Trinity WCarolina Ascent W
49.4Attack52.9
63.2Defence70.1
49.4Form55.2
54.1Power59.5
0.93xG1.08
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