GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 4/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

dalkurd FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

dalkurd FF are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Vasalund are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and dalkurd FF hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Ettan - Norra, while dalkurd FF holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

dalkurd FF

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

dalkurd FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

dalkurd FFWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 2.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
VasalundWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
dalkurd FFVasalund
47.8Attack44.4
67.8Defence61.1
58.9Form56.7
59.1Power55.0
1.23xG0.79
View match centre →