GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 4/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

dalkurd FF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

dalkurd FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sollentuna are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and dalkurd FF hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Ettan - Norra, while dalkurd FF holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

dalkurd FF

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

dalkurd FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

dalkurd FFLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SollentunaDLWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
dalkurd FFSollentuna
47.8Attack62.2
67.8Defence52.2
58.9Form51.1
59.1Power55.2
1.51xG1.10
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