Dalian Zhixingvs
Sichuan Jiuniu
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Zhixing 3-1 Sichuan Jiuniu
Original prediction
Dalian Zhixing
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 56.1% | 56.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 23.2% | 20.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.7% | 22.7% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Dalian Zhixing
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20