GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

11.3%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SHANGHAI SIPGWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingSHANGHAI SIPG
50.8Attack54.5
42.9Defence53.0
50.8Form45.5
50.2Power52.3
1.55xG1.72
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