Dalian Zhixingvs
Shanghai Shenhua
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 9/1/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua
Original prediction
Shanghai Shenhua
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.5% | 30.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.4% | 27.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 42.1% | 42.3% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Shenhua
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20