Dalian Zhixingvs
Qingdao Jonoon
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/5/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon
Original prediction
Dalian Zhixing
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 66.2% | 59.0% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.7% | 20.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.58 | 14.1% | 20.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Dalian Zhixing
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60