GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Super League, while Dalian Zhixing holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dalian Zhixing

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

10.5%

Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hangzhou GreentownLWDWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dalian ZhixingHangzhou Greentown
50.8Attack49.2
42.9Defence42.9
50.8Form46.0
50.2Power47.3
1.90xG1.54
View match centre →