GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/30/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Dongguan United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the FA Cup, while Dalian Zhixing holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dalian Zhixing

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingDWWWD

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Dongguan UnitedDDLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian ZhixingDongguan United
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
48.3Power23.7
1.46xG1.05
View match centre →