GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chengdu Better City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

10.6%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chengdu Better CityLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingChengdu Better City
50.8Attack63.6
42.9Defence66.7
50.8Form68.2
50.2Power66.7
1.05xG2.11
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