GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/28/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dalian Zhixing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

10.8%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian ZhixingWDLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Beijing GuoanWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dalian ZhixingBeijing Guoan
50.8Attack60.3
42.9Defence57.1
50.8Form54.0
50.2Power58.1
1.39xG1.94
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