Dalian Zhixingvs
Beijing Guoan
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/28/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Original prediction
Beijing Guoan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 31.1% | 26.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.4% | 20.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 44.5% | 52.5% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Beijing Guoan
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20