Dalian Zhixingvs
Beijing Guoan
SCHEDULEDChina · Super League · 8/28/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dalian Zhixing are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beijing Guoan
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
10.8%
Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00