GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Dalian Yingbo B 0-0 Yichun Grand Tiger, with an exact score probability of 33%.

Prediction record

Final result

Dalian Yingbo B 4-0 Yichun Grand Tiger

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2140.7%42.0%1.3 pts
Draw2.7732.6%36.2%3.6 pts
Away3.3826.7%21.8%-4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Projected Score

Dalian Yingbo B 0–0 Yichun Grand Tiger

Exact score probability: 33%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

42.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian Yingbo BDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Yichun Grand TigerLDLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian Yingbo BYichun Grand Tiger
30.8Attack23.1
67.9Defence64.1
42.3Form33.3
49.7Power42.7
0.72xG0.41
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