League TwoLeague Two
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Dalian Yingbo B

Dalian Yingbo B

Home
D
12
Full time
Xi'an Ronghai

Xi'an Ronghai

Away
W
Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Draw35%
Dalian Yingbo B35%
Xi'an Ronghai30%
Win probability
Dalian Yingbo B
35%
Draw
35%
Xi'an Ronghai
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dalian Yingbo B
9
Xi'an Ronghai
73
Defence
Dalian Yingbo B
91
Xi'an Ronghai
91
Momentum
Dalian Yingbo B
33
Xi'an Ronghai
100
Danger (xG)
Dalian Yingbo B
0.00
Xi'an Ronghai
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.39 xG for Dalian Yingbo B and 1.27 xG for Xi'an Ronghai. Xi'an Ronghai's projected xG of 1.27 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Dalian Yingbo B's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (73). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.66 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Dalian Yingbo B's Defensive Stability (91) and Xi'an Ronghai's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Dalian Yingbo B)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Xi'an Ronghai)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Dalian Yingbo B)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Xi'an Ronghai)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Dalian Yingbo BDalian Yingbo B
D
Xi'an RonghaiXi'an Ronghai
WD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Dalian Yingbo B35%
Draw35%
Xi'an Ronghai30%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Dalian Yingbo B vs Xi'an Ronghai: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Dalian Yingbo B take on Xi'an Ronghai in League Two.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Dalian Yingbo B's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 55% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Xi'an Ronghai have won 1 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Dalian Yingbo B carry the stronger underlying metrics, Xi'an Ronghai's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Dalian Yingbo B hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Dalian Yingbo B.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Dalian Yingbo B, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Xi'an Ronghai score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.12 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Dalian Yingbo B

Dalian Yingbo B

D
vs Qingdao Red Lions
5 Jul 2026
00
Xi'an Ronghai

Xi'an Ronghai

W
vs Dalian Kewei
8 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Changchun Yatai
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dalian Yingbo B vs Xi'an Ronghai?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dalian Yingbo B vs Xi'an Ronghai?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Dalian Yingbo B vs Xi'an Ronghai?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dalian Yingbo B vs Xi'an Ronghai?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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