Dalian Keweivs
Shenzhen 2028
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dalian Kewei 0-0 Shenzhen 2028, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Kewei 0-0 Shenzhen 2028
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.1% | 37.8% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.6% | 32.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.3% | 29.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.93 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Dalian Kewei 0–0 Shenzhen 2028
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dalian KeweiWLWDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenzhen 2028WLDWL
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian KeweiShenzhen 2028
33.3Attack55.1
79.7Defence63.8
58.0Form58.0
59.4Power59.1
0.78xG0.73