GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/15/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dalian Kewei · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dalian Kewei are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nantong Zhiyun are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Kewei hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (69.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the FA Cup, while Dalian Kewei holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dalian Kewei

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

12.1%

Dalian Kewei has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dalian KeweiWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nantong ZhiyunWLWDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian KeweiNantong Zhiyun
50.0Attack33.3
75.0Defence33.3
75.0Form0.0
69.1Power23.7
1.79xG0.89
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