Dalian Keweivs
Guizhou Zhucheng
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dalian Kewei 0-0 Guizhou Zhucheng, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Kewei 2-1 Guizhou Zhucheng
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.5% | 32.5% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.4% | 36.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.1% | 31.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Dalian Kewei 0–0 Guizhou Zhucheng
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dalian KeweiDWDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guizhou ZhuchengDWLLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian KeweiGuizhou Zhucheng
33.3Attack44.9
79.5Defence73.1
57.7Form59.0
59.4Power59.4
0.58xG0.59