FA CupFA Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Dalian Kewei

Dalian Kewei

Home
LW
12
Full time
Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

Away
DW
Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Dalian Kewei(45%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Beijing Guoan
Win probability
Dalian Kewei
45%
Draw
24%
Beijing Guoan
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Dalian Kewei
34
Beijing Guoan
54
Defence
Dalian Kewei
46
Beijing Guoan
82
Momentum
Dalian Kewei
50
Beijing Guoan
67
Danger (xG)
Dalian Kewei
0.90
Beijing Guoan
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Dalian Kewei)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Beijing Guoan)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Dalian Kewei)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Beijing Guoan)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Dalian KeweiDalian Kewei
LWW
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
DWWW

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Dalian Kewei45%
Draw24%
Beijing Guoan31%

Dalian Kewei leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Dalian Kewei head into this in FA Cup fixture at Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium in mixed form (LW), while Beijing Guoan arrive in mixed form (DW). Dalian Kewei have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Beijing Guoan over 2 games.

The model rates Dalian Kewei's attack at 34/100 against a 82/100 Beijing Guoan defence, and Beijing Guoan's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Dalian Kewei backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Dalian Kewei have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Beijing Guoan have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Dalian Kewei and Beijing Guoan in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Dalian Kewei to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Dalian Kewei 4453%, Draw 2410%, Beijing Guoan 3137%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Dalian Kewei

Dalian Kewei

L
@ Xi'an Ronghai
8 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Nantong Haimen Codion
4 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Nantong Zhiyun
15 May 2026
21
Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

D
vs Shenyang Urban
17 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Shandong Luneng
4 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Wuhan Three Towns
27 Jun 2026
10
W
vs Qingdao Jonoon
15 May 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Dalian Kewei vs Beijing Guoan?

GoalVio's model predicts Dalian Kewei to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Dalian Kewei vs Beijing Guoan?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Dalian Kewei vs Beijing Guoan?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dalian Kewei vs Beijing Guoan?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more