Dalian Huayivs
Ningbo Professional
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalian Huayi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Huayi 1-0 Ningbo Professional
Original prediction
Dalian Huayi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.7% | 40.7% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.6% | 26.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.6% | 33.0% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Dalian Huayi
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Dalian Huayi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20