Dalian Huayivs
Guangxi Hengchen
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Huayi 3-2 Guangxi Hengchen
Original prediction
Guangxi Hengchen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 23.9% | 26.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 27.2% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.5% | 46.2% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80