Dalian Huayivs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dalian Huayi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dalian Huayi 1-1 Changchun Yatai
Original prediction
Dalian Huayi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.8% | 37.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.9% | 27.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.3% | 34.3% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Dalian Huayi
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Dalian Huayi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80