Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dainava 0-3 Minija
Original prediction
Minija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.57 | 19.6% | 20.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 24.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 54.7% | 54.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DainavaDLLDD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MinijaWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
DainavaMinija
50.0Attack87.9
69.7Defence81.8
56.1Form87.9
59.1Power84.0
0.83xG1.49