Dainavavs
Kauno Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dainava 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris II, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dainava 0-1 Kauno Žalgiris II
Original prediction
Dainava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.1% | 69.3% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.0% | 18.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 19.9% | 11.8% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Projected Score
Dainava 2–0 Kauno Žalgiris II
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DainavaWDLWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kauno Žalgiris IILDLWW
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DainavaKauno Žalgiris II
49.4Attack32.1
65.4Defence40.7
54.3Form28.4
57.1Power36.0
2.02xG0.58