Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Dainava are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Be1 NFA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80