Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dainava are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Banga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Banga hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the A Lyga, while Banga holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00