GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dainava · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Dainava are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dainava hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the 1 Lyga, while Dainava holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dainava

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

11.8%

Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DainavaWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Žalgiris IIWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DainavaŽalgiris II
59.3Attack47.4
66.7Defence52.6
63.0Form49.1
63.2Power51.0
1.89xG0.84
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