Dainavavs
Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dainava 0-1 Žalgiris II
Original prediction
Dainava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.1% | 57.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.6% | 22.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.3% | 20.0% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DainavaDDWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Žalgiris IIWWWDW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DainavaŽalgiris II
55.0Attack55.6
68.3Defence50.8
60.0Form54.0
61.5Power54.5
1.79xG0.95