Dagenham & Redbridgevs
Slough Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dagenham & Redbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Slough Town
Original prediction
Dagenham & Redbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.6% | 59.0% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.4% | 22.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 6.06 | 14.9% | 18.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dagenham & Redbridge
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Dagenham & Redbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00