Dagenham & Redbridgevs
Hemel Hempstead Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dagenham & Redbridge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dagenham & Redbridge 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Original prediction
Dagenham & Redbridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.6% | 38.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.8% | 32.8% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.6% | 28.3% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Projected Score
Dagenham & Redbridge 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Dagenham & Redbridge
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Dagenham & Redbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80