Dagenham & Redbridgevs
Hampton & Richmond
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dagenham & Redbridge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (15%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Hampton & Richmond
Original prediction
Dagenham & Redbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.3% | 62.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 22.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.73 | 15.8% | 15.6% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–015%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Dagenham & Redbridge
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Dagenham & Redbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20