Dagenham & Redbridgevs
Dover
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dagenham & Redbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 Dover
Original prediction
Dagenham & Redbridge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.0% | 60.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.8% | 21.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.2% | 18.2% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Dagenham & Redbridge
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Dagenham & Redbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20