Dagenham & Redbridgevs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dagenham & Redbridge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Chesham United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 Chesham United
Original prediction
Dagenham & Redbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.1% | 45.4% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.8% | 28.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 22.0% | 26.2% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Projected Score
Dagenham & Redbridge 1–0 Chesham United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Dagenham & Redbridge
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Dagenham & Redbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40