Daejeon Korailvs
Yangpyeong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Korail · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Daejeon Korail 2-0 Yangpyeong, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Korail 2-1 Yangpyeong
Original prediction
Daejeon Korail
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.9% | 68.9% | 16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 19.2% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 11.9% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.0 pts
Projected Score
Daejeon Korail 2–0 Yangpyeong
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Korail
Probability
68.9%
Model confidence
68.9%
Daejeon Korail has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 18 · GA 14 · avg 3.60/2.80