GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/25/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hwaseong · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Daejeon Korail are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Hwaseong are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hwaseong hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the K3 League, while Hwaseong holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hwaseong

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Hwaseong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Daejeon KorailWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
HwaseongWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Daejeon KorailHwaseong
40.5Attack50.0
61.9Defence75.0
46.4Form71.4
51.6Power67.2
0.62xG1.09
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