Daejeon Korailvs
Gangneung City
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Korail · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Daejeon Korail 1-0 Gangneung City, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Korail 2-1 Gangneung City
Original prediction
Daejeon Korail
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.9% | 62.4% | 9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 24.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.3% | 12.9% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Projected Score
Daejeon Korail 1–0 Gangneung City
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Korail
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Daejeon Korail has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80