Daejeon Korailvs
Dangjin Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Korail · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Korail 0-1 Dangjin Citizen
Original prediction
Daejeon Korail
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.2% | 58.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 22.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.58 | 19.9% | 19.3% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Korail
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Daejeon Korail has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80