Daejeon Citizenvs
Vissel Kobe
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vissel Kobe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Original prediction
Vissel Kobe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 40.0% | 35.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.3% | 27.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.7% | 37.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Vissel Kobe
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Vissel Kobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20