Daejeon Citizenvs
Ulsan Hyundai FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 8/26/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Citizen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai FC
Original prediction
Daejeon Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.9% | 42.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 25.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.4% | 32.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Citizen
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20