Daejeon Citizenvs
Pohang Steelers
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Pohang Steelers, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Citizen 2-2 Pohang Steelers
Original prediction
Daejeon Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 51.1% | 52.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.7% | 20.0% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Pohang Steelers
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Citizen
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20