Daejeon Citizenvs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Original prediction
Daejeon Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.3% | 40.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.7% | 28.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 28.1% | 32.0% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Citizen
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Daejeon Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40